One of the undoubted highlights of Royal Ascot’s five day meeting is the Group 1 Ascot Gold Cup which takes place on Ladies day. Run over a stamina sapping two miles and four furlongs and pitching together some of the toughest stayers in Europe, it’s always an intriguing battle of grit, determination and class, and more often than not in recent times the fancied horses have come to the fore. 

Eight of the last 10 winners were priced at 6/1 or less (odds as of 22/06/2017), and six of those were favourites, priced at 6/4 or shorter. Of course upon closer inspection you can see the horses involved in those stats and see that three of those wins were by the magnificent Yeats between 2007 and 2009 and the other three short priced favourites to oblige were all Aidan O’Brien trained as well. Fame And Glory in 2011, Leading Light in 2014, and last year’s winner Order of St George who is back to defend his crown this year and currently around the even money mark to succeed. 

 
Trip To Paris (12/1) and Rite Of Passage (20/1) are the two bigger priced winners over the last decade but both of those were in years where there was no standout candidate for Ballydoyle. Kingfisher was the shortest priced Ballydoyle candidate in Trip To Paris’ Gold Cup and arguably would have won with a bit more luck in the run, so, forget about the trends, because effectively what we have here is a stable so dominant in producing the right type of horse for this race that all one has to do is decide whether you are with them, or against them. And the reason they are so dominant? Saddlers Well is his name. Sire of the great Galileo, who has proved as equally adept as his father in the bedroom, Saddler’s Wells has had a hand (or hock) in all seven of Ballydoyle’s Gold Cup wins with the latest, this year’s favourite, Order of St George, a son of Galileo, looking to add another notch to the bedpost. 

So will it be yet another Ascot Gold Cup triumph for the all powerful Saddler’s Wells bloodline or is there something lurking lower down the list that could cause a surprise? 

Order of St George 

Last year’s winner warmed up with a win in a Leopardstown Listed race after meeting defeat on seasonal debut. Not much to learn from either of those really as is a proven top classer when the big days come around. Third in the Arc is serious form and although the ground will be a lot quicker than last year, he seems to go on it perfectly well. Still one to take on at the likely short odds. 

Simple Verse 

2015 St Leger winning mare who almost always runs well, as when close up in the Champions Long Distance Cup here in October behind Sheikhzayedroad. Ground on the fast side would be a concern but trainer is very confident she’ll stay the trip. Currently around the 7/1 mark. 

Big Orange 

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Likes the ground rattling fast and first try at this trip after plenty of success over two miles, including a valiant fifth in a Melbourne Cup. Frankie Dettori’s loss is James Doyles gain and this relentless galloper looks one of the more likely ones if staying the extra half mile. 

Sheikhzayedroad 

Quirky but very talented beast who has taken his form to a new level since stepped up to proper staying trips, culiminating in victory in the Champions Long Distance Cup at Ascot back in October. Showed he stayed the trip well enough when third in the Gold Cup last year and faster ground won’t be a problem for him. Likely to be in the shake up at a fair price. 

Sweet Selection 

Certain stayer and followed up her gutsy Cesarewitch win with a victory in the Sagaro Stakes on this season’s reappearance. Might have been flattered that day by racing close to a slugggish pace and has plenty to find even if she does like the ground rattling. Big step forward needed again. 

Torcedor 

Late maturing type for Jessica Harrington who has won two on the spin this season, including a beating of Order of St George on his season reappearance when clearly not fully tuned up. Has never raced over two miles, never mind two and a half miles so plenty to prove on all counts. Currently around 14/1. 

Prince of Aran 

Improved dramatically over the winter on the allweather and showed that turf is no problem last time when reproducing that level of form. Strikes as a similar type to previous winner Trip To Paris in his career progress and unexposed as a stayer. Need a strong pace to be seen to best effect and will certainly get that. Current price of 33/1 looks a bit of value. 

The biggest horse racing festival of the year is currently underway as Cheltenham started on 14 March this year. The four-day event concludes on Friday with one of the richest events in UK horse racing – the Gold Cup.

Don Cossack, ridden by Bryan Cooper came home as the winner in this event last year having started as the 9/4 favourite. It was the first time since 2013 that the bookies’ favourite won the Gold Cup since Barry Geraghty rode Bobs Worth home with starting odds of 11/4.

This year promises to be an exciting event once again. Irish bookmaker Paddy Power have three joint-favourites for Friday’s race, with Native River, Djakadam and Cue Card all currently priced at 7/2 to win the big one. For those interested in Cheltenham Gold Cup betting, Native River heads into the Cheltenham Gold Cup in fine form having won each of its last three races at Newbury and Chepstow.

Meanwhile, French horse Djakadam has won only one of its last six races, though has placed in five of those races. Perpetual winner Ruby Walsh will be riding the horse who opened up as the bookmakers’ third favourite.
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Cue Card has won two of its last three races – at Haydock and Ascot, whilst finishing runner-up in a five horse race at Kempton. Jockey P J Brennan heads into Cheltenham on the back of a poor run.

Since 2003, eight of the 14 pre-race favourites have gone on to win the big race. Punters may want to keep a close eye on which horse’s odds drop just before the go to see if their horse starts as the favourite.

The Gold Cup starts at 15:30 on Friday 17 March. A brief guide to Cheltenham 2017 can be found in the graphic below:

Leicester were given absolutely no hope of winning the Premier League title in June 2015, listed at odds of 5000-1. To put that into context it was considered more likely for Piers Morgan to become Arsenal manager, the Queen to have the Christmas number 1, Kim Kardashian to become the US president and Dean Gaffney to win an Oscar.

On 2nd May 2016, Leicester won the English Premier League title. This meant everyone brave enough to put their money where their mouth was at the start of the season were rolling in it. A £10 bet at odds of 5000-1 would have paid out a staggering £50,000. See below how this compares to some of the craziest odds to ever come in, who even bets in these?:

5.) 1,000-1 – During the 2010 African Cup of Nations Mali were 4-0 down against Angola with 11 minutes left on the clock. One punter saw something that nobody else did and risked £5 on a comeback at 1,000-1. Mali scored two goals by the 90th minute and squared up the scoring in injury time. The match ended 4-4, gifting the lucky punter £5,000.

4.) 1,250-1 – Lewis Hamilton has been pretty dominant in F1 for a number of years, few were surprised when he won his first F1 World Championship with McLaren in 2008 having been tipped for greatness from an early age. One lucky punter must have seen the potential first, having spotted Lewis when he was karting at 13 years old. He promptly put £100 on Lewis to win the sport’s most prestigious prize. When Lewis delivered the lucky and mysterious chap walked away with £125,000.
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3.) 25,0000-1 – The bookies were so confident that Frankie Dettori wouldn’t win all seven races at Ascot in 1996 they gave odds of 25,000-1 of it happening. On the day Frankie created one of the greatest moments in horse racing history by defying those odds and winning all seven. The only person who came close to being as happy as Frankie that day was probably Darren Yeats of Morecambe. Darren put £59 on the outcome at 25,000-1 and walked away with more than £550,000!

2.) 1,666,666-1 – A man from Staffordshire placed a 30p bet and correctly predicted the winner of the top five English leagues, 3 divisions of Scottish football, Leicester to win the rugby union Premiership and Surrey to win the county cricket championship at 1,666,666-1. His thirty pence stake won him an impressive £500,000.

1.) 2,000,000-1 – In 2008, Fred Craggs from Yorkshire decided to put 50p on an eight horse accumulator for his 60th birthday. This resulted in what is believed to be the world record odds for a winning bet at 2,000,000-1, winning him a staggering £1,000,000.

2.30 7f class 1 Jersey Stakes (Group 3)

 IBN MALIK 11/1 EW

Shaped well last season as a 2yo but looked to better that when winning on reappearance last time out at Newmarket with an impressive win. More still to come and looks like a good value option here.

3.05 5f class 1 Queen Mary Stakes (Fillies' Group 2)

 LADY AURELIA 11/4

There is plenty of confidence behind Wesley Ward's filly here after just the one startm but was very impressive that day and is expected to take significant strides forward again today.

3.40 1m class 1 Duke Of Cambridge Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) 

 USHERETTE 9/4

Three smooth wins this season and goes from strength to strength, with latest Group 2 success at Newmarket smartest performance to date. If arrives today in the same form will be almost impossible to stop here.

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4.20 1m 2f class 1 Prince Of Wales's Stakes (Group 1)

 FOUND to be placed at Evens (Paddy Power)

A Shin Hikari will be undoubtedly hard to beat but we genuinly believe Found could run the Japanese raider close if doesn't come in the same form as recent impressive victory. We will however air on the side of caution and think Evens to finish in the top 2 is a cracking bet.

5.00 1m class 2 Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap)

A race that we feel is worth keeping your hands in your pocket, in an extremely open contest we couldn't find an angle in.

5.35 1m class 1 Sandringham Handicap (Fillies' Listed)

 PERSUASIVE 5/1 EW (5 places bet365)

racked up three impressive wins in as many starts and remains with potential for much better. Looks the one to beat here.